TBWTHE BORINGWEALTH

Kelly Fraction (Conservative)

Estimate position risk as a fraction of equity based on win rate and payoff ratio. Uses half-Kelly as the conservative recommendation to help reduce drawdowns.

Kelly Inputs

Position Details

Trade Actions

1Risk 2.00% of equity per trade
2Review win rate and payoff ratio frequently to keep Kelly sizing aligned with your edge.

Position Size

$0.00

2.00% of account

Risk Amount

2.00%

— per share

Tag:SwingTrading
Tag:PositionalTrading

Trade Plan

Kelly Fraction (Conservative)

The Boring Wealth

Setup

[What you saw, why you took the trade - 2-3 sentences max]

Entry Decision

├─ Account Size: N/A

│ └─ Symbol: N/A

├─ Win Rate: N/A%

├─ Payoff Ratio: N/A

└─ Optional Risk Cap: 2%

Risk Parameters

├─ Full Kelly Risk: 0.00%

├─ Half Kelly Risk: 0.00%

├─ Recommended Risk per Trade: 2.00%

└─ Notes: Enter valid win rate and payoff ratio.

Trade Structure / Exit Plan

MetricFull KellyHalf KellyRecommended
R MultipleFull KellyHalf KellyRecommended
Target———
Profit———
Total Gain %0.00%0.00%2.00%
SwingTrading
PositionalTrading

Trade Actions (What to execute)

  1. 1. Risk 2.00% of equity per trade
  2. 2. Review win rate and payoff ratio frequently to keep Kelly sizing aligned with your edge.
SwingTrading
PositionalTrading

Trading Style

☐ SwingTrading☐ PositionalTrading

Future Notes

☐ ENTRY OK?☐ EXIT OK?☐ Target achieved?
Journal reference: ____________________